We’re in a tussle between the amount of immunity in the country and the virus’s desire to spread.
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Coughs and colds get an edge and spread more easily when the temperature drops and we spend more time indoors.
We are seeing early signs of that in western Europe, where cases are starting to take off.
However, the UK is not in an identical situation and you could argue we are “ahead” of those countries.
Like it or not (and there are many vocal opponents) – Covid has been allowed to “run hot” since the summer and those consistently high levels of the virus will have topped up levels of immunity alongside the 12 million booster doses that have already been given.
There will be pressures on the NHS this winter, but a highly successful booster campaign would reduce the risk of the health service being overwhelmed.
But Plan B, including mandatory face masks and advice to work from home, or even an actual lockdown, are not being ruled out yet.
